Showing posts with label Snow. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Snow. Show all posts

December 14, 2011

Wintry Mix & Strong To Damaging Winds Possible






Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a High Wind Watch for the Champlain Valley of Vermont, and New York for potential of strong to damaging winds of 25-40MPH with gusts 55-60MPH. The Watch is in effect from 11PM tonight until 6PM Thursday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the Northern Adirondack mountains in Northern New York, and much of Vermont, except the Champlain Valley and Western Rutland County for a Wintry mix of precipitation, with up to two tenths of an inch of ice accumulation. The Advisory is in effect from 10PM this evening until 10AM Thursday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has not issued any alerts at this time.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern VT for wintry mix, and light glaze of ice. The Advisory is in effect from 10PM tonight until 6AM Thursday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         A significant storm system to impact the region later tonight into tomorrow, as a low pressure system strengthens from the Great Lakes region up into Canada. At this point it appears that the onset of precipitation will occur tonight resulting in cool temperatures to start, and light snow and/ or sleet should start nearly everywhere. The wintry precipitation will rapidly change over to rain though in the Champlain, and St. Lawrence Valleys, but the higher elevations, and especially the sheltered valley's will see the wintry precipitation last the longest, where it will change over to a period of freezing rain. Some of the most sheltered valley's in the Advisory area could see light freezing rain last until around 10AM tomorrow morning. This will result in up to 1 inch of snow, and up to two tenths of an inch of ice by 10AM tomorrow morning.

         As the strengthening storm system moves northeast from the Great Lakes, and into Canada a strong low level jet will develop resulting in strong southerly winds across the area. Nearly everyone will see wind gusts over 30MPH, however strong winds will occur in the St. Lawrence Valley and potentially damaging winds will occur in the Champlain Valley. At this point it appears the St. Lawrence Valley will see winds of 15-25MPH with gusts 45-50MPH. The same winds are likely in the Southern Champlain Valley as well. Across the Central, and especially Northern Champlain Valley though, winds will likely be stronger, and potentially damaging. Winds are expected to be in the 25-40MPH range with gusts 50 to 60MPH. The strongest winds will likely be closest to the lake shore, and over Grand Isle County. Over the open waters of Lake Champlain winds will be even stronger in the 40-50MPH range with gusts up to 65MPH. This will result in large battering waves on the open waters of Lake Champlain. There is still some question as to whether or not any rain will stabilize the surface layer and prevent the winds from mixing down to the surface, so at this point a High Wind Watch is in effect. It does appear likely that High Wind Warnings, and Wind Advisories will likely be issued later tonight, once a little more weather model data becomes available. Stay tuned for updates on this developing weather situation.

February 23, 2011

Heavy Snow To Impact The Region From Thurs Night To Fri Eve








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 6-10 inches of snow with locally 12 inches across portions of Northern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 11PM Thursday until 6PM Friday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Northern New York, and Vermont for the potential of 6-10 inches of snow by Friday Evening. The Watch is in effect from Early Friday morning through Friday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 6-10 inches of snow by Friday evening. The Watch is in effect from Late Thursday Night through Friday evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         After a nice little break from harsh winter conditions, significant snow will return to the region. At this point models are coming into better agreement on what will likely be a significant heavy wet snowfall across our region. For the most part models indicate anywhere from 6 to 12 inches of snow, although some models go a little higher with up to around 18 inches. At this point, with temperatures rising into the low 30's Friday, I would expect the snow to be wet and heavy and accumulate around 6-10 inches, although up to a foot is possible in the higher elevations across Northern Vermont, and the potential exists for amounts under 6 inches across extreme Southern Vermont, especially the Connecticut River Valley. Things could change so stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm system.

February 14, 2011

UPDATE: Near Blizzard Conditions Across The Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         (UPDATED) -Champlain Valley Weather has updated the Winter Weather Advisory which has been expanded to now cover the entire Champlain Valley, the entire Western slopes region of the Green mountains, and the Western slopes of the Northern Adirondack mountains for snow accumulations of 3-6 inches, and significant blowing and drifting snow. The Advisory is in effect until 2AM tomorrow morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Warning for much of Vermont, and Northern New York excluding the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's, and far southern Vermont. Wind chill reading will be in the 25 to 35 below zero range overnight. The Warning is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's and far Southern Vermont for wind chills in the 15 to 25 below zero range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for sustained winds of 15-30MPH with wind gusts in the 40-50MPH range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 8AM tomorrow.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Wind Chill Advisorty for much of Vermont and Northern New York except the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's. Wind chill reading are expected to be as low as 30 below zero. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a High Wind Warning for Western Windham County in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-40MPH with gusts of 50-65MPH are likely overnight. The Warning is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

-The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Advisory for Bennington, and eastern Windham Counties in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-30MPH with gusts of 45-55MPH are likely overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         I had to do an update to reflect the fact that strong upslope, and Champlain Valley convergence has set up. Snow moderate to heavy at times will coninue for the next hour or so, before diminishing in intensity, and tappering off around 2AM. Snow accumulations will range from 3-6 inches in the Advisory area. You can also expect significant blowing and drifitng snow, with near blizzard conditions at times.

         Everything else remains on track as far as wind chills and strong winds go, so check the previous post for details on that. Also want to apologize for no updated maps, I am unable to work on the maps at this time, so text only. Stay tuned for any further updates.

Snow, Wind, and Dangerously Cold Wind Chills










Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Warning for much of Vermont, and Northern New York excluding the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's, and far southern Vermont. Wind chill reading will be in the 25 to 35 below zero range overnight. The Warning is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the western slopes of the Northern Adirondack mountains, and the western slopes of the far northern green mountains in Vermont for snow accumulations of 2-5 inches with blowing and drifting. The Advisory is in effect until 11PM tonight.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's and far Southern Vermont for wind chills in the 15 to 25 below zero range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for sustained winds of 15-30MPH with wind gusts in the 40-50MPH range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 8AM tomorrow.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Wind Chill Advisorty for much of Vermont and Northern New York except the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's. Wind chill reading are expected to be as low as 30 below zero. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a High Wind Warning for Western Windham County in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-40MPH with gusts of 50-65MPH are likely overnight. The Warning is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

-The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Advisory for Bennington, and eastern Windham Counties in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-30MPH with gusts of 45-55MPH are likely overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         A low pressure system moving off to the Northeast will strengthen a bit, with a strong high pressure moving in from the west. This will result in a tight pressure gradient, falling temperatures, and even some accumulation snow.

         Already the cold front has shifted across all of Northern New York, and much of Northwestern Vermont with snow squalls, rapidly falling temperatures, and strong winds. If you have yet to encounter the cold front, that is what you can expect. Behind the cold front, temperatures will continue to plummet, and winds will continue to increase, resulting in strong winds, and cold wind chills overnight. Also some accumulating snow can be expected across much of the region, but the most snow will accumulate in upslope areas of the Northern Adirondacks and Northern Green mountains into this evening. The snow should tapper off overnight as much colder and drier air punches into the region. Stay tuned for any further updates.

February 7, 2011

Another Winter Storm To Strike The Region Overnight

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for 3-6 inches of snow by Tuesday morning, with locally up to 8 inches along the western slopes of the Green mountains. The Advisory is in effect until 11AM Tuesday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Weather Advisorty for all of Vermont and Northern New York for 4-6 inches of snow by tuesday morning, with locally higher amounts in the Northern Adirondacks and Western slopes of the Green mountains. The Advisory is in effect until 11AM Tuesday.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches fo snow in the Valleys and 4-8 inches of snow in the higher terrain bu Tuesday. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM Tuesday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Yes, thats right. Another winter storm headed for area. Low pressure currently over far eastern Tennessee will continue to move Northeast and redevelop along the coast, and move out to sea. Generally this wouldnt result in significant snow for our area, but due to an inverted trough in place, that will move across the Northeast, moisture will ride back and along that trough producing accumulating snow across the area. Snow totals across the board will be 3-6 inches with locally up to 8 inches along the Western slopes of the Green mountains, and perhaps the far eastern Champlain Valley.

         This snow should not be extremely wet and heavy like the last snow we had, however it wont be as powdery as you may like, and this is going to result in that much more snow on roofs. Already numerous buildings, especially barns and sheds have collapsed across Northern New York, and Vermont. With 5 barns collapsing today in Franklin County Vermont alone. You NEED to clear your roofs of snow immediately or you are risking severe structural damage and injury. Stay tuned to for further updates on this developing winter storm.

February 5, 2011

Heavy Snow To Continue Overnight








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Storm Warning for 6-12 inches of snow for Northern Vermont, and Northern New York, and 3-8 inches of snow for Central and Southern Vermont with up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect until 6AM Sunday morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow with up to a quarter inch of ice. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect 6AM Sunday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and portions of Northern New York for 5-12 inches of snow, with light ice accumulations across central, and southern Vermont. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the St. Lawrence Valley of New York for 4-7 inches of snow. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 2-4 inches of snow and sleet in the Valley's with 3-8 inches of snow and sleet above 1500 feet as well as a quarter inch of ice by Sunday morning. The Warning is in effect until 6AM Sunday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Very impressive storm unfolding with snowfall rates ranging from 1-3 inches per hour across Northern Vermont and New York. So far things are pretty much going as planned but a little more warm air has pushed into the region then expected. With freezing rain pushing as far North as Montpelier and some sleet as far North as Swanton. This will likely be the case until the low passes just to the south east of us, and then precipitation should become all snow once again. So far snow accumulations have ranged from 1-3 inches across Southern Vermont, 2-4 inches across Central Vermont, and 3-5 inches across Northern Vermont and Northern New York. Also there is some very extreme instability and it wouldn't be surprising to see some thundersnow across Northern Vermont and Northern New York overnight.

         Snow totals will generally range from 6-12 inches across Northern New York, and Northern Vermont with 3-8 inches across Central and Southern Vermont with 3-6 across far Southern Vermont. Up to a quarter inch of ice is likely across central and southern Vermont as well. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Winter Storm For Tonight Into Sunday








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 inches of snow with locally up to 12 inches for much of Northern and Central Vermont, and much of Northern New York. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 6PM this evening until 6AM Sunday morning.

-Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northern New York, and portions of Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow with up to a quarter inch of ice across the Southern portion of the Advisory area. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6PM this evening until 6AM Sunday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont, and Essex County in Northern New York for 6-10 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 4PM this afternoon until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 2-6 inches of snow and up to a quarter inch of ice by Sunday morning. The Watch is in effect from this afternoon until late tonight.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Once again we are under the gun for another Winter storm. With low pressure tracking from TN Northeast towards NY, then shifting east across Southern New England. This will result in the chance from some light snow today with snow becoming likely towards evening. Snow will overspread the region from south to north, and become heavy at times overnight, before tapering off Sunday morning.

         Snow totals will generally range from 6-10 inches across the Warning area with locally 12 inches, and 3-6 inches across the Advisory area. Some sleet and freezing rain could mix in across southern Vermont. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

February 2, 2011

UPDATE: Groundhog Day Winter Storm Continues








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather continues the Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and Northern New York for heavy snow accumulations of 10-16 inches across the entire area. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect until 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 8-14 inches of snow across the entire area. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Thursday.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 12-24 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect until 6AM Thursday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Well, things are going decent, but for those of us who love this weather, the forbidden dry slot is moving in. This will result in less snow. I have removed the 18+ area from my map, and dropped the 12-18 inches to 10-16 inches. Storm total snowfall will be for both rounds of the storm, the round yesterday, and the round today.

         For the rest of today, periods of snow, occasionally heavy at times will continue into this evening, when a period of steady moderate snow is possible. Travel will continue to be dangerous into this evening. Use extreme caution if you must travel. Stay tuned for further updates on this winter storm.

January 31, 2011

Ground Hog Day Storm; Worst Storm Since V-Day Nor'easter Of 2007








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and Northern New York for heavy snow accumulations of 12-18 inches across the Northern half of Vermont, and much of Northern New York, to 18+ inches across Central and especially Southern Vermont. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1AM Wednesday to 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 8-14 inches of snow across the Champlain Valley and St. Lawrence River Valley, with 12-20 inches across the rest of Vermont and Northern New York.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 15-30 inches of snow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Computer models remain in remarkably good agreement on the overall evolution and track of this system. Low pressure should track from Texas to the lower great lakes region, and then east over PA, and transfer energy to near Long Island. This will result in warm moist air overrunning the cold arctic air, resulting in very heavy snowfall rates, and accumulations. A period of snow is likely tomorrow as warm air advection commences, this will result in a 1-5 inch snowfall across the entire region. Then snow will tapper off for several hours before rapidly redeveloping by early Wednesday morning. Snow totals by very early Thursday morning will range from 12-18 inches across the Northern half of Vermont to over 18 inches across central and southern Vermont. Isolated areas may see up to 3 feet in Southern Vermont. Snowfall rates at the peak of the storm Wednesday afternoon will reach 1-3 inches per hour.

         This storm on a regional aspect will be one of the worst storms since the V-Day Nor'easter of 2007, if not a bit worse. This storm is expected to span from Texas across the middle of the country Northeast to New England with heavy snow. Blizzard conditions likely in the mid-west/ great lakes region and an Ice Storm just south of the heavy snow axis spreading all the way across the country from Texas to Southern New England. Also severe weather will likely break out across the southern states due to this very strong and dynamic storm. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Groundhog Day Winter Storm








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 6 inches in the far North to over 18 inches across Central, and Southern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 1AM Wednesday to 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 8-16 inches of snow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 12+ inches of snow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Overall computer models continue to be in very good agreement on the potential for a significant winter storm. Low pressure is expected to track from near the Northwestern Gulf Coast to the lower great lakes region, and then east through Pennsylvania, and redevelop off the coast of Northern New Jersey. This track will result in plenty of gulf moisture, and impressive over running precipitation. A period of snow will develop Tuesday and result in 1-5 inches across the region with the majority to the south, this snow is due to significant Warm air advection. Then the brunt of the storm pushes in for Wednesday morning, and lasting through the entire day Wednesday. Snow will become heavy at times, and snowfall rates may reach as high as 1-3 inches per hour, based on current indications. At this time early estimates indicate 6-12 inches of snow along the international border, with 12-18 inches for the rest of Northern Vermont, with 18+ inches for much of Central and Southern Vermont. I would like to urge that while models are in decent agreement, a slight shift in track will make the difference in snow amounts and the potential for sleet to mix in to the south. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

January 30, 2011

Major Winter Storm Possible For Groundhog Day

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has not yet issued any alerts on this storm system.
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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service has not yet issued any alerts on this storm system.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Weather models are coming into better agreement on what could be a substantial snowstorm for our region Tuesday night into Wednesday Night. Most models have been in very good agreement on this system compared to previous storms, and track the low pressure system from the Gulf coast, Northeast towards the lower great lakes, and then east over the PA/ NY border, and Southern New England. With the strong cold air to the north, this will increase the chances for a significant snowfall. Currently models indicate 10-18 inches of snow possible for much of Northern New York, and much of Vermont. I do want to urge though, that these totals are not yet official or set in stone, but just an early indicator of what may be coming. If models continue to agree this system will produce heavy snow then a Winter Storm Watch will likely be needed for the entire area. At this point it is too early to issued a Winter Storm Watch, but one may be issued by tomorrow evening. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

January 18, 2011

Wintry Mix To Cause Problems Into Wednesday








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for central and southern Vermont for 6-9 inches of snow, along with up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation across extreme Southern Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 3AM Wednesday morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued Winter Weather Advisory for much of Northern Vermont as well as Essex County New York for 3-6 inches of snow, along with up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation across central Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 6AM Wednesday morning.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Rutland, Windsor, and Orange Counties in Vermont for 4-8 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northern and Central Vermont, as well as Essex County New York for 2-6 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 4-8 inches of snow, and up to two tenths of an inch of ice by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Developing low pressure along the mid-atlantic coast will continue to move Northeast, and to Cape Cod by later today. Warmer air aloft will cause a wintry mix across much of the region.

PRECIPITATION
         Snow has overspread much of the region this moring, with some areas of moderate snow being reported. Temperature profiles this morning are very interesting, with teens in Burlington, and Plattsburgh, and much of Northern, VT, however some isolated spots across the Northern Champlain Valley have jumped into the mid to upper 20's, I am assuming this is due to some type of downslopping.

         As mentioned snow has overspread much of the region. It appears according to radar, and near term models that sleet should start mixing in across Southern Vermont soon, if not already. Indications of this are the fact that radar returns are very strong, but only light snow is being reported. This tells me bright banding on radar is occuring due to the sleet pellets.

         Snowfall totals will range from 6-9 inches across Southern Vermont to 3-6 inches across Northern Vermont, and as little as 1 inch in the St. Lawrence Valley of Northern New York. Snow totals could be locally lower across Valley and downslope areas of Southern Vermont, and locally higher across the eastern slopes of Central, and Southern green mountains. There will also be ice accumulation, with up to a tenth of an inch across central Vermont to a quarter inch across Southern Vermont. Conditions will continue to closely be monitored as more ice could occur across Southern Vermont, and snow totals could be less as well. Further North less freezing rain and sleet will mix in, but its still a possibility. Conditions will continue to be closely monitored. Use extreme caution if out traveling as this wintry mix will cause some significant travel impacts. Stay tuned for further updates!

January 12, 2011

UPDATE: Nor'easter Underway Across Our Region








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont for 6-10 inches of snow across the northern portions of the Warning, to 10-18 inches across central Vermont to 18-24+ inches across South Central, and Southern Vermont, by this evening. The Warning is in effect until 5PM this evening.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued Winter Weather Advisory for far Northwestern, and North Central Vermont as well as much of Northern New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts across the Southern portions of the Advisory. The Advisory is in effect until 5PM this evening.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Orange, Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow by this evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for much of Northern Vermont, and Essex County New York for 3-7 inches of snow by this evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 12-24 inches of snow with locally up to 30 inches of snow by this evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Stengthening Low Pressure near Cape Code will continue to strengthen and move northeast today, bringing heavy snow to much of the region.

SNOW
         Everything remains on track, just had to increase snow totals across Southern Vermont based on spotter reports and radar trends. Over 2 feet of snow is possible across the upslope regions of the Southern Green mountains, and across much of Windham county. It appears winds will pick up blowing this snow around causing some areas of significant drifting. But winds should remain below Blizzard Criteria.

         Snow will continue to spread all the way to the canadian border by later this morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across portions of Northern and central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across parts of New York snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. There is a slight chance of Thundersnow across far Southern Vermont as intense mesoscale bands set up. Stay tuned for further updates.

January 11, 2011

MAJOR UPDATE: Nor'easter Tracks Further West








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont for 6-10 inches of snow across the northern portions of the Warning, to 10-18 inches across south-central, and southern Vermont by Wednesday evening. The Warning is in effect from 2AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for far Northwestern, and North Central Vermont as well as much of Northern New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts across the Southern portions of the Advisory. The Advisory is in effect from 3AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 5-9 inches of snow across Rutland County, and 6-12 inches of snow across Windsor County by Wednesday Evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Addison, Washington, Orange, and Caledonia Counties in Vermont for 3-5 inches with locally up to 7 inches by Wednesday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 8-16 inches with locally 10-20 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Two areas of energy are merging with a central low pressure system tracking up the east coast. This will result in snow further north.

SNOW
         The model which seems to be coming to fruition is the NAM model which has said this storm will track further west, and it has. I have expanded the Warning further North, and have issued an Advisory for much of Northern New York as well. Warning area will range from 6-10 inches North to 10-18 inches South. I am still being slightly conservative on the snow amounts to the North and West. The Advisory covers 3-6 inches with the highest amounts across the southern portions of the Advisory. If the storm continues to track further west, than an Advisory may eventually be needed for the St. Lawrence valley, but I will hold off for now.

         Snow should spread across much of the region by tomorrow morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across portions of Northern and central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across parts of New York snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm system.

UPDATE: Nor'easter To Strike Parts of the Region








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, Rutland, Windham, and Windsor Counties in Vermont for 12-18 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening. The Warning is in effect from 12AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Washington, Orange, and Eastern Addison Counties in Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 1AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Chittenden, Lamoille, Caledonia, Essex, and Western Addison Counties in Vermont, and Eastern Essex County in New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts. The Advisory is in effect from 2AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.


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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 5-9 inches of snow across Rutland County, and 6-12 inches of snow across Windsor County by Wednesday Evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Addison, Washington, Orange, and Caledonia Counties in Vermont for 3-5 inches with locally up to 7 inches by Wednesday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 8-16 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Two areas of energy are forecasted to merge together near the Delmarva peninsula to spawn a single low pressure system that will push Northeast. The exact track of the low pressure system continues to remain unknown. Eitherway measurable snow will be seen across much of Vermont, and portions of Northern New York.

SNOW
         Currently weather models continue to diverge on the exact track of this system. The hi-res models are in the west camp, and the GFS and a couple other global models are in the East camp. The exact track will determine how far measurable snow will make it into Vermont, but either track will bring measurable snow to southern Vermont. At this point I will split the track pretty much down the center but just a hair further to the west. This results in significant snowfall across much of Vermont. With lesser amounts across Northern New York.

         Snow should spread across much of the region by tomorrow morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across norther VT and extreme eastern NY snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. Depending upon the exact track more or less snow could occur for central and Northern Vermont.

SNOW
         Winds will occasionally be rather gusty with gusts up to near 35MPH at times, especially across Southern Vermont. But at this point it should not fall under true Blizzard criteria. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing weather situation.

January 10, 2011

Nor'easter To Impact Parts Of The Region Tuesday Into Wednesday








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for the southern half of Vermont for 12-18 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening. The Warning is in effect from 5PM Tuesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Central Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 5PM Tuesday until 5PM Wednesday.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Windsor, and Eastern Rutland Counties in Vermont for the potential of 5-10 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 7 or more inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Two areas of energy are forecasted to merge together near the Delmarva peninsula to spawn a single low pressure system that will push Northeast. The exact track of the low pressure system is still not known. Either way snow will develop across Southern Vermont by later Tuesday.

SNOW
         As been the case much of this winter, another difficult storm system to predict. The storm is expected to for near the Delmarva, and either move North-Northeast, or Due Northeast. If the storm decides to pass inside Cape Cod, then all of VT will likely see significant snowfall. If the storm passes to the East of Cape Cod then impacts will remain across southern Vermont. At this point though it does appear that Southern Vermont is in the threat for heavy snow with either track. So I have places the Southern half of Vermont under a Winter Storm Warning for 12-18 inches of snow. A little less snow is possible across Western Rutland County, and in the Connecticut River valley, where only 6-12 inches is likely at this time. With the uncertainty remaining I have only places Central Vermont under a Watch for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow. Model trends, radar, and surface obs will be key players to watch, to determine the exact track of the low pressure center, and its associated snowfall. This storm may be very similar to the Post Christmas Day Storm across our area, in terms of snowfall. While winds will be occasionally gusty, Blizzard conditions are not likely at this time. Please stay tuned to Champlain Valley Weather for further updates on this developing winter storm.

January 9, 2011

UPDATE: Upslope Snow Event Hitting Western Slopes Hard








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Eastern Chittenden County in Vermont for 12-18 inches of snow by Monday afternoon. The Warning is in effect until 12PM Monday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Eastern Franklin, and Eastern Addison Counties in Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow with locally higher amounts near the Chittenden County border. The Warning is in effect until 12PM Monday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Southern Franklin, and Western Clinton Counties in New York, for 6-9 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect until 12PM Monday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Lamoille, Western Franklin, Western Chittenden, and Western Addison Counties in Vermont and Southeastern St. Lawrence County in Northern New York for 3-6 inches of snow by Monday afternoon. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM Monday.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northwestern, and North Central Vermont, as well as portions of Northern New York for 3-8 inches of snow by late Monday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Low pressure over the open waters of the Atlantic is pushing moisture down upon the region resulting in accumulating snow.

SNOW
         An update from Jericho, VT indicates 10.5 inches of snow has fallen. This tells me the Warning for the Western slopes is well needed, and an update on snow accumulations is needed as well. Above is an updated map, basically to indicate an area of 12-18 inches of snow along the Western slopes of the Green mountains primarily in Eastern Chittenden county where the snow has not stopped today. Moderate to heavy snow is ongoing at this time. Further west in the immediate Champlain Valley either no snow, or only flurries have been occurring today, with minimal accumulation. As the main forcing mechanism swings through the area later this evening, this should help squeeze out moisture into the Valley as well. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm.

December 27, 2010

UPDATE: Spotter Reports From VT Require Warning Re-issuance





Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Franklin, Chittenden, and Lamoille Counties in Vermont for storm total snowfall of 6-12 inches with isolated areas along the Western Slopes of the Warning area receiving 12+ inches of Snow. The Warning is in effect until 11PM this evening.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the entire Champlain Valley, and all of Vermont for Blowing Snow, Cold Wind Chills, and Light Snow, with additional accumulations of a Trace to 3 inches. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 11PM tonight.

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NWS Albany, NY:
         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for Blowing Snow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for Bennington and Western Windham County in Vermont for dangerous wind chills down to 20 below zero tonight.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         A strong low pressure center continues to slow move to the Northeast and will eventually end up in the Canadian Maritimes later today. A Tight pressure gradient, is resulting in blowing and drifting of snow, and cold wind chills.

SNOWFALL
         I hate flip flopping, but spotter reports from Jericho, Bakersfield, and radar trends, indicate a Warning is needed once again for Franklin, Chittenden, and Lamoille Counties in Vermont. The snow is done for the most part across Vermont, but periods of heavy snow showers will continue across Franklin, Chitteden, and Lamoille Counties in Vermont into this evening. Spotters from Jericho, VT indicate that 8 inches of additional snow has fallen since around 8AM this morning. Additional heavy snow has moved into that region, as well as other parts of Franklin, Chittenden, and Lamoille Counties. Visibilities are back down around a quarter mile in this snow band. This snow band should weaken, but a couple additional snow bands are possible as a little more moisture slams up against the green mountains this evening. Stay tuned for further updates, and again I am very sorry for being all over the place with this system.

UPDATE: Blowing Snow & Cold Windchill Into Tomorrow






Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the entire Champlain Valley, and all of Vermont for Blowing Snow, Cold Wind Chills, and Light Snow, with additional accumulations of a Trace to 3 inches. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect until 11PM tonight.

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NWS Albany, NY:
         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for Blowing Snow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for Bennington and Western Windham County in Vermont for dangerous wind chills down to 20 below zero tonight.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         A strong low pressure center continues to slow move to the Northeast and will eventually end up in the Canadian Maritimes later today. A Tight pressure gradient, is resulting in blowing and drifting of snow, and cold wind chills.

WIND & WINDCHILL
         The biggest concern left with this storm is the strong winds, and the associated wind chills. Winds will continue to be sustained in the 10-20MPH range with isolated gusts up to 30MPH area wide today into tomorrow. This will result in Wind chills today in the 5 above zero to 10 below zero range today, area wide. The warmer readings if you want to call it that, will be in the Champlain Valley, and the colder readings in the higher elevations. Tonight the Winter Weather Advisory will likely be cancelled and a Wind Chill Advisories/ Warnings will likely be put in place for much of the area. Wind chills tonight will be in the 10 below zero to 20 below zero range for the Champlain Valley, and for the higher elevations wind chill values will be in the 15 below zero to 30 below zero range. Make sure if you venture out today, and especially tonight, you bundle up and stay very warm, as it wont take long for frostbite to occur with wind chills this low.

SNOWFALL & BLOWING SNOW
       &nbsb Snowfall for today has pretty much ended, except some light to occasionaly moderate snow showers across the Northern Half of Vermont, and far Northeastern New York. Additional snowfall accumulations today should be a Trace to 1 inch in the immediate Champlain Valley, to as much as 1-3 inches in the more persistent and heavier snow showers towards the Western slopes of the Green mountains.

         The next concern, especially for today is the blowing and drifting of the snow. Strong winds mentioned above in the Wind chill section, will also produce some areas of blowing and drifting snow. The blowing and drifting should slowly become less intense as the snow that's being blown around begins to settle due to not much additional fresh snow. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect to highlight all the aspects ongoing right now, from the Blowing and drifting of the snow, to the cold wind chills, and the light additional snow accumulations. Travel will be rather difficult today and this evening, so use extreme caution. The Advisory will likely be dropped later tonight and a Wind Chill Advisory/ Warning will likely take over at that time. Stay tuned for further updates.

UPDATE: Blizzard Warnings Downgraded/ Storm Winding Down








Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Storm Warning, and expanded it to cover the previous counties under the Blizzard Warning. The Blizzard Warning is no longer in effect. Snow totals of 6-12 inches across Central Vermont, and 12-20 inches across Southern Vermont are likely by 3PM this afternoon. Winds will continue to be in the 10-20MPH range with occasional gusts up to 35MPH. The Winter Storm Warning will end at 3PM this afternoon.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Weather Advisory for portions of the Champlain Valley, and North Central Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow, and winds in the 10-20MPH range with isolated gusts up to 35MPH. The Advisory will end at 3PM this afternoon.
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NWS Butlington, VT:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, continues the Winter Storm Warning for South Central, Central, and Northeast Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow across the northern portions of the Warning to 10-15 inches across the southern portions of the warning. Along with winds in the 15-25MPH range with gusts to 40MPH.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT continues the Winter Weather Advisory for portions of the Champlain Valley, and portions of Northern Vermont for 3-7 inches of snow combined with winds in the 15-25MPH range with gusts to 40MPH.

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NWS Albany, NY:
         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 12-24 inches of snow with strong winds in the 15-25MPH range with gusts ranging from 35-45MPH.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         A 970mb low pressure system continues to move Northeast from east of Cape Cod. This will result in snow diminishing across the regiong today.

SNOWFALL
         Looks like the hi-res models pretty much nailed it with regards to the snow totals across Vermont, leaving the Northern Champlain Valley high and dry, while bringing a large amount of snow to southern Vermont.

         Snow mainly light to moderate will continue today, although a heavy burst cants be ruled out. The overall trend will be snow diminishing though. Total snow accumulations will be 3-6 in the Advisory 6-12 on the Northern end of the Warning with 12-20 inches across the southern portions of the Warning. Some places could see locally up to 2 feet, especially in Bennington, Windham, and Windsor Counties in Southern Vermont. Also, winds have not been quite as strong and have been falling just shy of Blizzard criteria, so the Blizzard Warning has been downgraded to a Warning. Either way though its still blowing and drifting pretty good, and will be dangerous to travel out there today. Especially across Central and Southern Vermont. Use caution and be safe!