UPDATE: Wintry Mix & Strong To Damaging Winds Tonight Into Tomorrow

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a High Wind Warning for the Northeastern Champlain Valley of Vermont, for strong to damaging winds of 25-40MPH with gusts 55-60MPH. The Watch is in effect until 6PM Thursday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Advisory for all of Northern New York, and much of Vermont for sustained winds of 15-30MPH with gusts 40-50MPH. Isolated higher wind speeds are likely in the St. Lawrence and Champlain Valley's. The Advisory is in effect until 6PM Thursday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather continues a Winter Weather Advisory for eastern Vermont, for a Wintry mix of precipitation, with 1-2 inches of snow, and up to two tenths of an inch of ice accumulation. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM Thursday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has not issued any alerts at this time.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern VT for wintry mix, and light glaze of ice. The Advisory is in effect until 6AM Thursday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Storm system strengthening over the great lakes region will continue to move northeast and into Canada. A few adjustments were needed. The winter weather advisory for Northern New York, and the western slopes/ spine of the green mountains was cancelled, as temperatures near or above freezing will continue to rise, resulting in very little frozen or freezing precipitation. East of the spine of the green mountains though is a different story, cold air will hold on tough, in fact temps will likely fall a couple more degrees in the most sheltered Valley's. Thus a Winter Weather Advisory will continue here, as frozen/ freezing precipitation is likely to linger into tomorrow mid morning.

         The Wind aspect of this storm remains the most significant portion of this storm, especially for the Champlain Valley. The High Wind Watch was replaced with a High Wind Warning for the Northeast Champlain Valley, and a Wind Advisory for all of northern New York, and the rest of Vermont. Winds in the warning area will range from 25-40MPH with isolated gusts of 55-60MPH. On the open waters of Lake Champlain winds of 35-50MPH with occasional gusts to 60MPH are likely. For the remainder of the area, wind speeds will range from 15-30MPH with gusts 40-50MPH. The highest wind speeds, will be in the St. Lawrence, and Champlain Valley portion of the Advisory, and even isolated higher wind speeds could occur in those areas. Especially near the Lake Champlain shoreline. Stay tuned for further updates.

Heavy Snow To Impact The Region From Thurs Night To Fri Eve

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 6-10 inches of snow with locally 12 inches across portions of Northern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 11PM Thursday until 6PM Friday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Northern New York, and Vermont for the potential of 6-10 inches of snow by Friday Evening. The Watch is in effect from Early Friday morning through Friday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 6-10 inches of snow by Friday evening. The Watch is in effect from Late Thursday Night through Friday evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         After a nice little break from harsh winter conditions, significant snow will return to the region. At this point models are coming into better agreement on what will likely be a significant heavy wet snowfall across our region. For the most part models indicate anywhere from 6 to 12 inches of snow, although some models go a little higher with up to around 18 inches. At this point, with temperatures rising into the low 30's Friday, I would expect the snow to be wet and heavy and accumulate around 6-10 inches, although up to a foot is possible in the higher elevations across Northern Vermont, and the potential exists for amounts under 6 inches across extreme Southern Vermont, especially the Connecticut River Valley. Things could change so stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm system.

UPDATE: Near Blizzard Conditions Across The Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         (UPDATED) -Champlain Valley Weather has updated the Winter Weather Advisory which has been expanded to now cover the entire Champlain Valley, the entire Western slopes region of the Green mountains, and the Western slopes of the Northern Adirondack mountains for snow accumulations of 3-6 inches, and significant blowing and drifting snow. The Advisory is in effect until 2AM tomorrow morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Warning for much of Vermont, and Northern New York excluding the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's, and far southern Vermont. Wind chill reading will be in the 25 to 35 below zero range overnight. The Warning is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's and far Southern Vermont for wind chills in the 15 to 25 below zero range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for sustained winds of 15-30MPH with wind gusts in the 40-50MPH range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 8AM tomorrow.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Wind Chill Advisorty for much of Vermont and Northern New York except the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's. Wind chill reading are expected to be as low as 30 below zero. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a High Wind Warning for Western Windham County in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-40MPH with gusts of 50-65MPH are likely overnight. The Warning is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

-The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Advisory for Bennington, and eastern Windham Counties in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-30MPH with gusts of 45-55MPH are likely overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         I had to do an update to reflect the fact that strong upslope, and Champlain Valley convergence has set up. Snow moderate to heavy at times will coninue for the next hour or so, before diminishing in intensity, and tappering off around 2AM. Snow accumulations will range from 3-6 inches in the Advisory area. You can also expect significant blowing and drifitng snow, with near blizzard conditions at times.

         Everything else remains on track as far as wind chills and strong winds go, so check the previous post for details on that. Also want to apologize for no updated maps, I am unable to work on the maps at this time, so text only. Stay tuned for any further updates.

Snow, Wind, and Dangerously Cold Wind Chills

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Warning for much of Vermont, and Northern New York excluding the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's, and far southern Vermont. Wind chill reading will be in the 25 to 35 below zero range overnight. The Warning is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the western slopes of the Northern Adirondack mountains, and the western slopes of the far northern green mountains in Vermont for snow accumulations of 2-5 inches with blowing and drifting. The Advisory is in effect until 11PM tonight.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's and far Southern Vermont for wind chills in the 15 to 25 below zero range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM tomorrow.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for sustained winds of 15-30MPH with wind gusts in the 40-50MPH range overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 8AM tomorrow.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Wind Chill Advisorty for much of Vermont and Northern New York except the Champlain and St. Lawrence Valley's. Wind chill reading are expected to be as low as 30 below zero. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a High Wind Warning for Western Windham County in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-40MPH with gusts of 50-65MPH are likely overnight. The Warning is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

-The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Advisory for Bennington, and eastern Windham Counties in Southern Vermont. Sustained winds of 20-30MPH with gusts of 45-55MPH are likely overnight. The Advisory is in effect until 10AM tomorrow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         A low pressure system moving off to the Northeast will strengthen a bit, with a strong high pressure moving in from the west. This will result in a tight pressure gradient, falling temperatures, and even some accumulation snow.

         Already the cold front has shifted across all of Northern New York, and much of Northwestern Vermont with snow squalls, rapidly falling temperatures, and strong winds. If you have yet to encounter the cold front, that is what you can expect. Behind the cold front, temperatures will continue to plummet, and winds will continue to increase, resulting in strong winds, and cold wind chills overnight. Also some accumulating snow can be expected across much of the region, but the most snow will accumulate in upslope areas of the Northern Adirondacks and Northern Green mountains into this evening. The snow should tapper off overnight as much colder and drier air punches into the region. Stay tuned for any further updates.

Another Winter Storm To Strike The Region Overnight

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for 3-6 inches of snow by Tuesday morning, with locally up to 8 inches along the western slopes of the Green mountains. The Advisory is in effect until 11AM Tuesday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Weather Advisorty for all of Vermont and Northern New York for 4-6 inches of snow by tuesday morning, with locally higher amounts in the Northern Adirondacks and Western slopes of the Green mountains. The Advisory is in effect until 11AM Tuesday.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches fo snow in the Valleys and 4-8 inches of snow in the higher terrain bu Tuesday. The Advisory is in effect until 12PM Tuesday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Yes, thats right. Another winter storm headed for area. Low pressure currently over far eastern Tennessee will continue to move Northeast and redevelop along the coast, and move out to sea. Generally this wouldnt result in significant snow for our area, but due to an inverted trough in place, that will move across the Northeast, moisture will ride back and along that trough producing accumulating snow across the area. Snow totals across the board will be 3-6 inches with locally up to 8 inches along the Western slopes of the Green mountains, and perhaps the far eastern Champlain Valley.

         This snow should not be extremely wet and heavy like the last snow we had, however it wont be as powdery as you may like, and this is going to result in that much more snow on roofs. Already numerous buildings, especially barns and sheds have collapsed across Northern New York, and Vermont. With 5 barns collapsing today in Franklin County Vermont alone. You NEED to clear your roofs of snow immediately or you are risking severe structural damage and injury. Stay tuned to for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Heavy Snow To Continue Overnight

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Storm Warning for 6-12 inches of snow for Northern Vermont, and Northern New York, and 3-8 inches of snow for Central and Southern Vermont with up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect until 6AM Sunday morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow with up to a quarter inch of ice. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect 6AM Sunday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and portions of Northern New York for 5-12 inches of snow, with light ice accumulations across central, and southern Vermont. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the St. Lawrence Valley of New York for 4-7 inches of snow. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 2-4 inches of snow and sleet in the Valley's with 3-8 inches of snow and sleet above 1500 feet as well as a quarter inch of ice by Sunday morning. The Warning is in effect until 6AM Sunday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Very impressive storm unfolding with snowfall rates ranging from 1-3 inches per hour across Northern Vermont and New York. So far things are pretty much going as planned but a little more warm air has pushed into the region then expected. With freezing rain pushing as far North as Montpelier and some sleet as far North as Swanton. This will likely be the case until the low passes just to the south east of us, and then precipitation should become all snow once again. So far snow accumulations have ranged from 1-3 inches across Southern Vermont, 2-4 inches across Central Vermont, and 3-5 inches across Northern Vermont and Northern New York. Also there is some very extreme instability and it wouldn't be surprising to see some thundersnow across Northern Vermont and Northern New York overnight.

         Snow totals will generally range from 6-12 inches across Northern New York, and Northern Vermont with 3-8 inches across Central and Southern Vermont with 3-6 across far Southern Vermont. Up to a quarter inch of ice is likely across central and southern Vermont as well. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Winter Storm For Tonight Into Sunday

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for 6-10 inches of snow with locally up to 12 inches for much of Northern and Central Vermont, and much of Northern New York. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 6PM this evening until 6AM Sunday morning.

-Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northern New York, and portions of Southern Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow with up to a quarter inch of ice across the Southern portion of the Advisory area. The Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6PM this evening until 6AM Sunday morning.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont, and Essex County in Northern New York for 6-10 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 4PM this afternoon until 7AM Sunday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 2-6 inches of snow and up to a quarter inch of ice by Sunday morning. The Watch is in effect from this afternoon until late tonight.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Once again we are under the gun for another Winter storm. With low pressure tracking from TN Northeast towards NY, then shifting east across Southern New England. This will result in the chance from some light snow today with snow becoming likely towards evening. Snow will overspread the region from south to north, and become heavy at times overnight, before tapering off Sunday morning.

         Snow totals will generally range from 6-10 inches across the Warning area with locally 12 inches, and 3-6 inches across the Advisory area. Some sleet and freezing rain could mix in across southern Vermont. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

UPDATE: Groundhog Day Winter Storm Continues

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather continues the Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and Northern New York for heavy snow accumulations of 10-16 inches across the entire area. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect until 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 8-14 inches of snow across the entire area. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Thursday.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 12-24 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect until 6AM Thursday.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Well, things are going decent, but for those of us who love this weather, the forbidden dry slot is moving in. This will result in less snow. I have removed the 18+ area from my map, and dropped the 12-18 inches to 10-16 inches. Storm total snowfall will be for both rounds of the storm, the round yesterday, and the round today.

         For the rest of today, periods of snow, occasionally heavy at times will continue into this evening, when a period of steady moderate snow is possible. Travel will continue to be dangerous into this evening. Use extreme caution if you must travel. Stay tuned for further updates on this winter storm.

Ground Hog Day Storm; Worst Storm Since V-Day Nor'easter Of 2007

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont and Northern New York for heavy snow accumulations of 12-18 inches across the Northern half of Vermont, and much of Northern New York, to 18+ inches across Central and especially Southern Vermont. The Winter Storm Warning is in effect from 1AM Wednesday to 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Warning for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for 8-14 inches of snow across the Champlain Valley and St. Lawrence River Valley, with 12-20 inches across the rest of Vermont and Northern New York.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for 15-30 inches of snow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Computer models remain in remarkably good agreement on the overall evolution and track of this system. Low pressure should track from Texas to the lower great lakes region, and then east over PA, and transfer energy to near Long Island. This will result in warm moist air overrunning the cold arctic air, resulting in very heavy snowfall rates, and accumulations. A period of snow is likely tomorrow as warm air advection commences, this will result in a 1-5 inch snowfall across the entire region. Then snow will tapper off for several hours before rapidly redeveloping by early Wednesday morning. Snow totals by very early Thursday morning will range from 12-18 inches across the Northern half of Vermont to over 18 inches across central and southern Vermont. Isolated areas may see up to 3 feet in Southern Vermont. Snowfall rates at the peak of the storm Wednesday afternoon will reach 1-3 inches per hour.

         This storm on a regional aspect will be one of the worst storms since the V-Day Nor'easter of 2007, if not a bit worse. This storm is expected to span from Texas across the middle of the country Northeast to New England with heavy snow. Blizzard conditions likely in the mid-west/ great lakes region and an Ice Storm just south of the heavy snow axis spreading all the way across the country from Texas to Southern New England. Also severe weather will likely break out across the southern states due to this very strong and dynamic storm. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Groundhog Day Winter Storm

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 6 inches in the far North to over 18 inches across Central, and Southern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 1AM Wednesday to 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 8-16 inches of snow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 12+ inches of snow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Overall computer models continue to be in very good agreement on the potential for a significant winter storm. Low pressure is expected to track from near the Northwestern Gulf Coast to the lower great lakes region, and then east through Pennsylvania, and redevelop off the coast of Northern New Jersey. This track will result in plenty of gulf moisture, and impressive over running precipitation. A period of snow will develop Tuesday and result in 1-5 inches across the region with the majority to the south, this snow is due to significant Warm air advection. Then the brunt of the storm pushes in for Wednesday morning, and lasting through the entire day Wednesday. Snow will become heavy at times, and snowfall rates may reach as high as 1-3 inches per hour, based on current indications. At this time early estimates indicate 6-12 inches of snow along the international border, with 12-18 inches for the rest of Northern Vermont, with 18+ inches for much of Central and Southern Vermont. I would like to urge that while models are in decent agreement, a slight shift in track will make the difference in snow amounts and the potential for sleet to mix in to the south. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

Major Winter Storm Possible For Groundhog Day

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has not yet issued any alerts on this storm system.
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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service has not yet issued any alerts on this storm system.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Weather models are coming into better agreement on what could be a substantial snowstorm for our region Tuesday night into Wednesday Night. Most models have been in very good agreement on this system compared to previous storms, and track the low pressure system from the Gulf coast, Northeast towards the lower great lakes, and then east over the PA/ NY border, and Southern New England. With the strong cold air to the north, this will increase the chances for a significant snowfall. Currently models indicate 10-18 inches of snow possible for much of Northern New York, and much of Vermont. I do want to urge though, that these totals are not yet official or set in stone, but just an early indicator of what may be coming. If models continue to agree this system will produce heavy snow then a Winter Storm Watch will likely be needed for the entire area. At this point it is too early to issued a Winter Storm Watch, but one may be issued by tomorrow evening. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.

UPDATE: Arctic Airmass Over The Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather continues the Wind Chill Warning for wind chills in the 25F to 35F below zero range in the Immediate central and southern Champlain Valley, with Wind chills of 35F to 55F below zero elsewhere, with the coldest readings across portions of the extreme Northern Adirondacks, and the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont. The Wind Chill Warning is in effect until 11AM Monday.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Wind Chill Advisory for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for wind chills as low as 25 below zero this evening. The Advisory is in effect until 10PM this evening.

-The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Wind Chill Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for wind chills of 30-40 degrees below zero. The Warning is in effect until 9AM Monday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
OVERVIEW
         An arctic air mass has set up across the region, and will create the coldest temperatures of the season tonight.

TEMPERATURES
         Tonight will be the coldest night of this arctic blast, temperatures will range from 20F to 35F below zero area wide, with isolated areas in the Northeast Kingdom of VT, and the Northern Adirondacks of NY getting down into the 35F to 45F below zero range. For Monday temperatures will range from 5F below zero to 5F above zero area wide.

WIND CHILLS
         The temperatures above, combined with a persistent wind of 3-7MPH will result in life threatening wind chills. For tonight wind chills will be life threatening with wind chills ranging from -30F to -55F. Isolated areas in the Northeast Kingdom, and Northern Adirondack mountains could briefly reach wind chills of 55F to 65F below zero. For Monday wind chills will be from 0F to 20F below Zero.

PREPAREDNESS
         This is going to be an extremely dangerous situation. Temperatures, and wind chills this cold can cause frostbite in under 15 minutes. Death from hypothermia can occur much quicker in temperatures, and wind chills such as these. These cold temperatures have not been witnessed at the very latest, since mid January of 2009. With the country not seeing such widespread cold temperatures since 2007.

         It is extremely important to make sure your heating system is functioning properly, and make sure its cleaned. Also make sure Chimneys are cleaned, vents are clear of snow, and you have a working carbon monoxide and smoke detector in your home. For you Vehicle make sure to keep a full tank of gas to prevent your fuel lines from freezing, and make sure your vehicle is in top shape if planning to travel. When starting your vehicle make sure to let it run at the very least 30 minutes before driving as you can damage your vehicles engine. Also make sure to dress warmly, and in layers. Make sure to wear a heavy winter jacket if planning on venturing out doors. Make sure you have gloves or mittens, a hat and hood, and scarf or something to cover your face. For more tips on protecting yourself in extreme cold weather please visit the two links below.

National Weather Service Office, Burlington, VT. Public Information Statement On Arctic Blast

CDC Safety Tips On Extreme Cold Weather

Dangerously Cold Arctic Blast Moving In

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Wind Chill Warning for Saturday Night through Monday Night for wind chills in the 25F to 35F below zero range in the Champlain Valley, and extreme Southern Vermont, with Wind chills of 35F to 55F below zero outside of the Champlain Valley, with the coldest readings across portions of the extreme Northern Adirondacks, and the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service has not yet issued an alerts.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
OVERVIEW
         An arctic front will continue to push through the region tonight, bringing in the coldest air of the season tonight through Tuesday, with the coldest readings from Sunday to Monday. A persistent light wind will produce dangerously cold wind chills, on top of the dangerously cold temperatures. While Wind Chills may only be marginal for Warning criteria Saturday night and Sunday during the day, due to the fact this being a long lasting shot of arctic air, and the fact its by far the coldest weather we have seen in a while, a Warning will hammer the point home. Sunday night, the Warning will be very much needed.

TEMPERATURES
         Temperatures for tomorrow will be in the 5F to 15F above zero area wide. For Saturday night, temperatures will range from -10F to -25F area wide. For Sunday temperatures will range from -5F to 5F above zero area wide. For Sunday night, the coldest night of this arctic blast, temperatures will range from -20F to -35F area wide. For Monday temperatures will range from -5F to 5F area wide, and for Monday night temperatures will range from -15 to -30F.

WIND CHILLS
         The temperatures above, combined with a persistent wind of 3-7MPH will result in dangerously cold wind chills. For tomorrow wind chills will range from 0F to -15F. For Saturday night wind chills will range from -20F to -40F. For Sunday wind chills will range from 0F to -20F. For Sunday night wind chills will be the most dangerous with wind chills ranging from -30F to -55F. For Monday wind chills will be from 0F to -20F, and for Monday night wind chills will range from -25F to -50F.

PREPAREDNESS
         This is going to be an extremely dangerous situation. Temperatures this cold can cause frostbite in under 15 minutes. Death from hypothermia can occur much quicker in temperatures, and wind chills such as these. These cold temperatures have not been witnessed at the very latest, since mid January of 2009. With the country not seeing such widespread cold temperatures since 2007.

         It is extremely important to make sure your heating system is functioning properly, and make sure its cleaned. Also make sure Chimneys are cleaned, vents are clear of snow, and you have a working carbon monoxide and smoke detector in your home. For you Vehicle make sure to keep a full tank of gas to prevent your fuel lines from freezing, and make sure your vehicle is in top shape if planning to travel. When starting your vehicle make sure to let it run at the very least 30 minutes before driving as you can damage your vehicles engine. Also make sure to dress warmly, and in layers. Make sure to wear a heavy winter jacket if planning on venturing out doors. Make sure you have gloves or mittens, a hat and hood, and scarf or something to cover your face. For more tips on protecting yourself in extreme cold weather please visit the two links below.

National Weather Service Office, Burlington, VT. Public Information Statement On Arctic Blast

CDC Safety Tips On Extreme Cold Weather

Another System To Bring Snow To The Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for portions of Southern Vermont for 5-9 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 12AM Friday until 12PM Friday Afternoon.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for the remainder of Vermont, and all of Northern New York, except the Northern St. Lawrence Valley for 3-5 inches of snow. The Advisory is in effect from 2AM Friday until 2PM Friday Afternoon.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 3-6 inches of snow. The Advisory is in effect from 12AM Friday until 12PM Friday Afternoon.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Low pressure tracking across the country will intensify over the Southern New England coast, and up into the Gulf of Maine, bringing another round of accumulating snow to the region.

SNOW
         It looks like another storm system will effect the region. This time it will be much faster moving, and may throw some surprises out for some people across New England. At this time models have substantially shifted to the storm track further Northwest, which puts much of the region in Advisory criteria snowfall, with some warning criteria snowfall to the south. Also some models show the storm intensifying a little sooner, which it something that needs to be watched very closely. If the storm tracks just a bit further northwest, and intensifies a bit sooner, then we could be talking about Warning Criteria snowfall for everyone.

         At this point though with high snow ratios on the order of 20:1 this should lay down a nice 5-9 inches across Southern Vermont with 3-6 inches across the rest of Vermont, and much of Northern New York. At this time I feel the Northern St. Lawrence valley is just a bit too far from the more significant accumulating snow, but trends will be monitored and they could end up in an Advisory later this evening. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm system.

UPDATE: Wintry Mix To Change To Snow Showers Overnight

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather continues the Winter Storm Warning for portions of central and southern Vermont for 6-9 inches of snow, along with up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation across extreme Southern Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Weather Advisory for the entire Champlain Valley of Vermont, North Central Vermont, and the Northeast Kingdom, as well as Essex County New York for 3-6 inches of snow, along with up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation across central Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Rutland, Windsor, and Orange Counties in Vermont for 5-10 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northern and Central Vermont, as well as Essex County New York for 2-6 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 4-8 inches of snow, and up to two tenths of an inch of ice by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Low pressure near Cape Cod will continue to move Northeast, and away from the region. A cold front moving in from the west, will bring in cooler temps and more light snow for tomorrow.

PRECIPITATION
         Well for the most part, things have gone fairly well. I did have to drop western Franklin County, VT from the Winter Weather Advisory, and downgrade the Warnings to Advisories across Western Addison, and Rutland Counties, as well as Caledonia County, as snow totals are not as high as expected. I did contemplate leaving the Warnings/ Advisories in place as an area of concentrated snow may continue across the Champlain Valley and western slopes of the green mountains as winds shift to the North and Northwest, and produce convergence, and upslope snows. Also another area of snow will develop across much of the region as a cold front and associated waves of low pressure ride up along the front, including isolated snow squalls, but with looking at all the pieces, the snow would occur over a fairly long period of time, not to mention the later is a completely separate system, so I decided adjusting the Warnings/ Advisories were an appropriate idea. Conditions will be monitored closely tomorrow morning though as Snow squalls are possible around the morning commute time frame.

Wintry Mix To Cause Problems Into Wednesday

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for central and southern Vermont for 6-9 inches of snow, along with up to a quarter inch of ice accumulation across extreme Southern Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 3AM Wednesday morning.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued Winter Weather Advisory for much of Northern Vermont as well as Essex County New York for 3-6 inches of snow, along with up to a tenth of an inch of ice accumulation across central Vermont by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 6AM Wednesday morning.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Rutland, Windsor, and Orange Counties in Vermont for 4-8 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for portions of Northern and Central Vermont, as well as Essex County New York for 2-6 inches of snow by Wednesday morning. The Advisory is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 4-8 inches of snow, and up to two tenths of an inch of ice by Wednesday morning. The Warning is in effect until 7AM Wednesday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Developing low pressure along the mid-atlantic coast will continue to move Northeast, and to Cape Cod by later today. Warmer air aloft will cause a wintry mix across much of the region.

PRECIPITATION
         Snow has overspread much of the region this moring, with some areas of moderate snow being reported. Temperature profiles this morning are very interesting, with teens in Burlington, and Plattsburgh, and much of Northern, VT, however some isolated spots across the Northern Champlain Valley have jumped into the mid to upper 20's, I am assuming this is due to some type of downslopping.

         As mentioned snow has overspread much of the region. It appears according to radar, and near term models that sleet should start mixing in across Southern Vermont soon, if not already. Indications of this are the fact that radar returns are very strong, but only light snow is being reported. This tells me bright banding on radar is occuring due to the sleet pellets.

         Snowfall totals will range from 6-9 inches across Southern Vermont to 3-6 inches across Northern Vermont, and as little as 1 inch in the St. Lawrence Valley of Northern New York. Snow totals could be locally lower across Valley and downslope areas of Southern Vermont, and locally higher across the eastern slopes of Central, and Southern green mountains. There will also be ice accumulation, with up to a tenth of an inch across central Vermont to a quarter inch across Southern Vermont. Conditions will continue to closely be monitored as more ice could occur across Southern Vermont, and snow totals could be less as well. Further North less freezing rain and sleet will mix in, but its still a possibility. Conditions will continue to be closely monitored. Use extreme caution if out traveling as this wintry mix will cause some significant travel impacts. Stay tuned for further updates!

Blockbuster Nor'easter Comes To an End

STORM OVERVIEW
         About 10 days prior to the storm, long range weather models saw the potential for a major winter storm across the eastern portions of the United States, however the expected outcome across the Northeast wouldn't be known until just hours before the storm would arrive.

         In the end three things had to happen in order for this storm to occur. Low pressure that had tracked across the deep south bringing heavy snow, and damage ice accumulations would have to meet just at the right time with an upper level low coming out of Canada into the midwest states to produce an explosive intensification of low pressure off the mid-Atlantic coast.

         About 48 hours before the event, 2 near term models out of about a dozen weather models altogether began to indicate a shift in the track of this explosive low pressure system, bringing it substantially closer to the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts, as well as being loaded with far more moisture. Unfortunately many forecasters refused to believe these two models, and discounted them as being "Western Outliers". Many forecasts went out indicating a big storm from Philly to Boston, with little to nearly no snow across Northern/ Upstate New York, and New England. Initial forecasts depending on which network you follow were forecasting 6-12 inches from NYC to Boston with locally higher amounts to near 18 inches. These forecast were being based of the longer term global models, instead of paying close attention to the near term hi-res models. Weather enthusiasts from Champlain Valley Weather and SnoBoy weather had already been forecasting for a significant storm to impact much of New England, including Northern New England, and based their forecasts on these near term models.

         Once the low pressure system out of the deep south rounded Cape Hatteras and took a much further jog to the west was when weather services finally decided to change there tune. However weather enthusiasts from both Champlain Valley Weather and SnoBoy Weather had not much to change, as their forecasts were already set, as they saw the danger coming far in advance.

         Tuesday evening it was apparent that the extremely energetic upper level low was trying to grab the surface low and pull it back towards the Mid-Atlantic coast, as well as the fact the upper level low wasn't ready to weaken yet. Overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday morning Heavy snow overspread southern New England and snowfall rates reached as high as 4 inches per hour across portions of the region. During this time frame the upper level low finally transferred energy to the coastal low, and explosive intensification occurred, well into New England. The surface low ended up tracking just inside of Cape Cod. This resulted in heavy snows pushing much further north into northern New England, which Champlain Valley Weather, and SnoBoy weather had eluded to well in advance. Other forecast services were in a rush to rapidly change their forecasts, however it wouldn't be until late morning that portions of Northern New England would finally be placed under the Winter Alerts they should have been under. Unfortunately this was already after the storm started, and area schools and businesses to the north, were well in session.

         Snow fell heavily all day Wednesday, and even lasted into Tursday across the Champlain valley, and northern green mountains. The result was an extremely treacherous Wednesday evening commute, and very dangerous travel for area schools transportation. In the end snow totals reached 6-10 inches across extreme northern Vermont with 10-18 inches across much of the rest of Vermont to 2-3 feet across portions of Southern Vermont, and Central New England, with a max amount of over 40 inches in Western Massachusetts. This storm will be remembered for years to come, and is well classified as being a Blockbuster Nor'easter for its massive snow totals, further western track, and Blizzard conditions across Southeastern New England.

         A special thanks goes out to all my viewers and to those who reported there snow totals and weather conditions to me. A special thanks goes out to all the members of Champlain Valley Weather's Storm Chase Branch - Franklin County Storm Chasers. A special thanks also goes to SnoBoy weather's top man (VT)David Claghorn for the amazing collaboration on this winter event, and to all SnoBoy's members for there great reports from the West Coast to the Mid Atlantic to New England! I would like to urge anyone who has snow totals they want to report to me, please feel free to send them in at anytime. I want to make sure I have the most accurate snowfall data as possible. Also feel free if your a member of facebook to search "SnoBoy Weather" and fan them, for great weather updates across the region. Thanks again to everyone.

UPDATE: Nor'easter Underway Across Our Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued the Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont for 6-10 inches of snow across the northern portions of the Warning, to 10-18 inches across central Vermont to 18-24+ inches across South Central, and Southern Vermont, by this evening. The Warning is in effect until 5PM this evening.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has continued Winter Weather Advisory for far Northwestern, and North Central Vermont as well as much of Northern New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts across the Southern portions of the Advisory. The Advisory is in effect until 5PM this evening.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Orange, Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 6-12 inches of snow by this evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for much of Northern Vermont, and Essex County New York for 3-7 inches of snow by this evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 12-24 inches of snow with locally up to 30 inches of snow by this evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Stengthening Low Pressure near Cape Code will continue to strengthen and move northeast today, bringing heavy snow to much of the region.

SNOW
         Everything remains on track, just had to increase snow totals across Southern Vermont based on spotter reports and radar trends. Over 2 feet of snow is possible across the upslope regions of the Southern Green mountains, and across much of Windham county. It appears winds will pick up blowing this snow around causing some areas of significant drifting. But winds should remain below Blizzard Criteria.

         Snow will continue to spread all the way to the canadian border by later this morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across portions of Northern and central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across parts of New York snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. There is a slight chance of Thundersnow across far Southern Vermont as intense mesoscale bands set up. Stay tuned for further updates.

MAJOR UPDATE: Nor'easter Tracks Further West

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for much of Vermont for 6-10 inches of snow across the northern portions of the Warning, to 10-18 inches across south-central, and southern Vermont by Wednesday evening. The Warning is in effect from 2AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for far Northwestern, and North Central Vermont as well as much of Northern New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts across the Southern portions of the Advisory. The Advisory is in effect from 3AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 5-9 inches of snow across Rutland County, and 6-12 inches of snow across Windsor County by Wednesday Evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Addison, Washington, Orange, and Caledonia Counties in Vermont for 3-5 inches with locally up to 7 inches by Wednesday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 8-16 inches with locally 10-20 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Two areas of energy are merging with a central low pressure system tracking up the east coast. This will result in snow further north.

SNOW
         The model which seems to be coming to fruition is the NAM model which has said this storm will track further west, and it has. I have expanded the Warning further North, and have issued an Advisory for much of Northern New York as well. Warning area will range from 6-10 inches North to 10-18 inches South. I am still being slightly conservative on the snow amounts to the North and West. The Advisory covers 3-6 inches with the highest amounts across the southern portions of the Advisory. If the storm continues to track further west, than an Advisory may eventually be needed for the St. Lawrence valley, but I will hold off for now.

         Snow should spread across much of the region by tomorrow morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across portions of Northern and central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across parts of New York snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing storm system.

UPDATE: Nor'easter To Strike Parts of the Region

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, Rutland, Windham, and Windsor Counties in Vermont for 12-18 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening. The Warning is in effect from 12AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Washington, Orange, and Eastern Addison Counties in Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow. The Warning is in effect from 1AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Chittenden, Lamoille, Caledonia, Essex, and Western Addison Counties in Vermont, and Eastern Essex County in New York for 3-6 inches of snow with locally higher amounts. The Advisory is in effect from 2AM Wednesday until 5PM Wednesday.


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National Weather Service Alerts:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Windsor, and Rutland Counties in Vermont for 5-9 inches of snow across Rutland County, and 6-12 inches of snow across Windsor County by Wednesday Evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Weather Advisory for Addison, Washington, Orange, and Caledonia Counties in Vermont for 3-5 inches with locally up to 7 inches by Wednesday evening.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Warning for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for 8-16 inches of snow by Wednesday Evening.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         Two areas of energy are forecasted to merge together near the Delmarva peninsula to spawn a single low pressure system that will push Northeast. The exact track of the low pressure system continues to remain unknown. Eitherway measurable snow will be seen across much of Vermont, and portions of Northern New York.

SNOW
         Currently weather models continue to diverge on the exact track of this system. The hi-res models are in the west camp, and the GFS and a couple other global models are in the East camp. The exact track will determine how far measurable snow will make it into Vermont, but either track will bring measurable snow to southern Vermont. At this point I will split the track pretty much down the center but just a hair further to the west. This results in significant snowfall across much of Vermont. With lesser amounts across Northern New York.

         Snow should spread across much of the region by tomorrow morning. Snow will be going heavy across southern Vermont where snowfall rates as high as 4 inches per hour are possible. Across central Vermont some heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are possible, and across norther VT and extreme eastern NY snowfall rates of a half to 1 inch per hour are possible for a brief time. Depending upon the exact track more or less snow could occur for central and Northern Vermont.

SNOW
         Winds will occasionally be rather gusty with gusts up to near 35MPH at times, especially across Southern Vermont. But at this point it should not fall under true Blizzard criteria. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing weather situation.