Groundhog Day Winter Storm

Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 6 inches in the far North to over 18 inches across Central, and Southern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 1AM Wednesday to 1AM Thursday.

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National Weather Service:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington, VT has issued a Winter Storm Watch for all of Vermont, and Northern New York for the potential of 8-16 inches of snow.

         -The National Weather Service in Albany, NY has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Vermont for the potential of 12+ inches of snow.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Overall computer models continue to be in very good agreement on the potential for a significant winter storm. Low pressure is expected to track from near the Northwestern Gulf Coast to the lower great lakes region, and then east through Pennsylvania, and redevelop off the coast of Northern New Jersey. This track will result in plenty of gulf moisture, and impressive over running precipitation. A period of snow will develop Tuesday and result in 1-5 inches across the region with the majority to the south, this snow is due to significant Warm air advection. Then the brunt of the storm pushes in for Wednesday morning, and lasting through the entire day Wednesday. Snow will become heavy at times, and snowfall rates may reach as high as 1-3 inches per hour, based on current indications. At this time early estimates indicate 6-12 inches of snow along the international border, with 12-18 inches for the rest of Northern Vermont, with 18+ inches for much of Central and Southern Vermont. I would like to urge that while models are in decent agreement, a slight shift in track will make the difference in snow amounts and the potential for sleet to mix in to the south. Stay tuned for further updates on this developing winter storm.