October 11, 2010
Potential Winter Weather Event Thursday To Saturday
Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
         Suprisingly, models are coming into agreement on what could be out first semi-winter weather event. Models are showing a low pressure system forming along the mid-Atlantic coast, intensifying and moving up the coast to around Cape cod. This is where models diverge, some track it inland over southern and Central New England, others trend it over Cape Cod, and some models move the low pressure system to the east of Cape Cod. Also all models vary in strength. Some showing a sub 985mb low pressure system, while others show a sub 995mb, low pressure system. Neither is too shabby but the sub 985mb were to come true, we could be seeing an interesting scenario setting up.
         Currently I will play it middle of the road, and forecast mainly rain with some higher elevation snow showers especially in the Northern Adirondacks for the time being. The ultimate track and strength of this system is key to if, when, and how much snow will fall. At this point those living in elevations above 2000 feet should pay close attention to future forecasts. Those below 2000 feet, don't let your guard down quite yet, as those of us in Central and Northern Vermont, and Northeastern New York can easily remember the snowstorm back on April 28th of this year. I do want to urge that I am not saying this system is similar, but just remind those that the weather is very unpredictable. Also winds could be a factor with this upcoming storm system, stay tuned to Champlain Valley Weather for further updates on this potential situation.
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