December 25, 2010

Blizzard Possible For Portions Of The Region










Alerts:
CPV Weather
         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Blizzard Watch for portions of South Central, and Southern Vermont for the potential of 12-20 inches of snow with winds in the 15-25MPH range with frequent gusts of 35-45MPH, some higher gusts could occur acros extreme southern Vermont. The Watch is in effect from 2PM Sunday until 2PM Monday.

         -Champlain Valley Weather has issued a Winter Storm Watch for much of Northern and Central Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow and strong winds in the 10-20MPH range with gusts up to 35MPH. The Watch is in effect from 4PM Sunday until 4PM Monday.

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NWS Butlington, VT:
         -The National Weather Service in Burlington VT, has issued a Winter Storm Watch for South-Central Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow combined with strong winds in the 15-20MPH range with gusts of 30-40MPH. The Watch is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

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NWS Albany, NY:
         -The National Weather Service in Albany NY, has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Bennington, and Windham Counties in Southern Vermont for the potential of 6-12 inches of snow with strong winds in the 10-20MPH range with gusts up to 40MPH. The Watch is in effect from Sunday afternoon through Monday morning.

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Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:

OVERVIEW
         A strengthening low pressure system in the Northeast Gulf of Mexico will cross Florida and exit off the Southeast Coast near Georgi and move North-Northeast to possible due North, to South of Long Island, then shift back Northeast to near Cape Cod, and then up into the Canadian Maritimes late Monday. This will result in snow and strong winds for the area.

SNOWFALL
         A tough forecast yet again, as models still do not completely agree with one another on how close this system is going to track to the coast. Over the past 24-36 hours though, models have shifted further west, but even as of the latest 18Z model runs, they continue to shift things ever so slightly further west, with the 18Z NAM being a very significant snowstorm for our region, compared to other models. But, anyway you slice it, the models continue to shift ever so slightly to the west.

         At this point the least I can say is that Southern Vermont will definitely get hit the hardest, with localized amounts of up to 2 feet possible, this also combined with strong wind gusts will result in Blizzard conditions. For the remainder of Vermont, less snow and wind is expected but my feeling is that significant snow will still fall none-the-less. Stay tuned for further updates, on this developing storm system.

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