Flooding Concerns Increase Across Central Vermont

Champlain Valley Weather Discussion:
     Currently light to occasionally moderate rain continues across much of Vermont, with the exception of extreme Northern Vermont. Across Northern New York rain has pretty much ended for a short time, and precipitation remains very light and showery in nature.

     Overnight the rain shifted south, close to the line I had predicted it would go. The heaviest rain occurred in Essex County, New York, and Addison, and Washington Counties in Vermont. As much as 2.25 inches of rain have been reported in Randolph Vermont, which is in Orange County. This is several miles from the Windsor County border, and the Addison County border. This is right in line with where the heaviest rain had set up overnight. The lightest amounts of rain thus far have occurred across the Northern Champlain Valley, and the Northern portions of the Northeast Kingdom. Due to a west to east flow of the precip, I am curious as to whether or not some shadowing has occurred in the Champlain Valley. That appears to be the case. Below is a small list of rain totals I put together. These reports are from the National Weather Service as of 7-9AM.

Vermont

Randolph: 2.25"
Rochester: 2.00"
Bethel: 1.90"
Bristol: 1.69"
Bradford: 1.31"
Montpelier: 1.11"
Hinesburg: 0.94"
South Burlington: 0.65"
NWS Burlington: 0.48"
Sheldon: 0.36"
Swanton Village: 0.22"
Alburgh: 0.21"
Milton: 0.20"
Rutland: 0.16"
Lake Willoughby: 0.16"


New York

Harrisville: 2.03"
Tupper Lake-Sun Mountain: 1.22"
Newcomb: 0.77"
Saranac Lake: 0.64"
Massena: 0.49"
Ogdensburg: 0.40"
Plattsburgh: 0.39"
Rouses Point: 0.25"

     For the rest of today, additional rain showers, and possible thunderstorms will move across the region. Mainly along the line where the heaviest rain has occurred. As the low pressure system currently over Northeast Michigan continues to push Northeast, additional rain will move into the region. This time due to the low pressure center eventually moving to the north of our region, this will force the boundary back north, and bring some heavier rain back along the international border. The heaviest rain though will continue to fall across Central Vermont, portions of Northern New York throughout the day. Total rainfall accumulations along the axis of heaviest rain by Friday afternoon will range from 2-3 inches with locally higher amounts to near 4 inches. Especially if any thunderstorms happen to develop. (Updated alert maps below.)